Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 7.228521 8.440981 9.749771 11.262245 12.956424 14.790127 16.919282
2025-04-20 5.857698 7.453758 9.291339 11.545060 14.215278 17.258331 20.967672
2025-04-27 4.899405 6.710864 8.912930 11.748666 15.262428 19.430939 24.703925
2025-05-04 4.101811 6.011908 8.451014 11.730367 15.954298 21.138817 27.902436
2025-05-11 3.296008 5.169993 7.682175 11.203365 15.908130 21.868483 29.866915
2025-05-18 2.774832 4.632318 7.234429 11.018822 16.239183 23.034427 32.373365
2025-05-25 2.328287 4.133772 6.773959 10.751714 16.405916 23.953116 34.554579
2025-06-01 1.994151 3.754901 6.435898 10.609174 16.705519 25.028603 36.949084
2025-06-08 1.681504 3.363754 6.032630 10.324632 16.765024 25.752638 38.867309
2025-06-15 1.495704 3.156174 5.886456 10.401489 17.331999 27.182280 41.779510
2025-06-22 1.306676 2.915188 5.659337 10.327608 17.657984 28.267396 44.230185
2025-06-29 1.177835 2.764891 5.564032 10.447271 18.269810 29.771800 47.306066
2025-07-06 1.060824 2.622447 5.470402 10.564349 18.885665 31.310266 50.492264
2025-07-13 0.987300 2.555510 5.500761 10.883991 19.826808 33.355001 54.465665
2025-07-20 0.906940 2.462568 5.473945 11.100550 20.607166 35.177390 58.157497
2025-07-27 0.807053 2.312236 5.325401 11.092671 21.017278 36.443382 61.051855
2025-08-03 0.664262 2.040693 4.917170 10.592766 20.585454 36.389390 61.955127
2025-08-10 0.574526 1.876484 4.700326 10.418009 20.680026 37.146228 64.092633
2025-08-17 0.489159 1.706284 4.451994 10.163339 20.618918 37.645382 65.837247
2025-08-24 0.424694 1.577176 4.274722 10.027376 20.750844 38.448993 68.064228
2025-08-31 0.358481 1.428578 4.037808 9.755524 20.624196 38.821248 69.615873
2025-09-07 0.323669 1.363004 3.978318 9.829038 21.115251 40.214985 72.808497
2025-09-14 0.283803 1.273133 3.852817 9.758448 21.337292 41.164303 75.309483